Facts are nice, but fact-checking is not always relevant or helpful, especially when it misses the point of whatever statements are being corrected.
“Does a person's perception of their place within the general socioeconomic order directly influence their physical and psychological well-being? Let's pretend that researchers find robust evidence that subjective social status does indeed predict various indicators of well-being, e.g., people who rate themselves lower in the pecking order are less healthy or happy than those with higher self-ratings. What can we learn from such evidence? Nothing much by itself. We'd have to dig deeper.” - Singh-Manoux, Adler, and Marmot (2003)
This post was going to compare police response times (RTs) in the ten most dangerous US cities with the RTs of the safest cities (link). Unfortunately, none of the dangerous cities had decent RT data, except for Oakland, California. But we’re in luck! Oakland has great data, not only for RTs but also for police staffing levels, both across several years.
1. Curiosity …
There is no hard-and-fast threshold for an acceptable clearance rate. That said, Oakland’s rate is abysmal. No wonder Oakland’s the most dangerous city in the US!
These posts will explore factors that are thought to influence violent crime rates, such as police response times, clearance rates, conviction rates, sentencing norms, and demographics. I will limit my exploration to the 10 safest and 10 most dangerous cities listed in the above chart, the better to reveal patterns of influence. Hopefully, these cities keep good records.
“Food production is the biggest driver of biodiversity loss across the world. This was true for most of our history and is still true today.” -Hannah Ritchie and Max Roser/Our World in Data
For comparison, as of 9/30/24, the Dow Jones average net profit margin was 2.46%; the Nasdaq average net profit margin was 16.09%. And according to a January 2024 analysis by NYU Stern School of Business, the average net profit margin for US corporations across 94 industries was 8.54%, based on a sample of 6481 firms.
Americans used to be fairly united on the need to protect the environment through stricter laws and regulations. That consensus took a nosedive in the 1990s and has never recovered…
The authors don’t tell us why Medicare and insurers are increasingly relying on prior authorization, nor do they address the prevalence of unnecessary or low-value medical care or the risks associated with such care. That’s a huge omission. Potential harms should be weighed against potential benefits, the better to find solutions that preserve benefits while reducing harm. As for the prevalence and risk of unnecessary and low-value care, evidence suggests that up to one-fifth of healthcare spending is wasted on such care and around 10% of patients are harmed in the process.
Around a quarter of healthcare spending in the US is wasted, much of it on unnecessary or low-value tests and procedures that do not improve patient outcomes. Here are a few ways countries and healthcare systems are tackling the problem…
“False consciousness [is] the notion that people are so misled about reality that they act against their own interests. What was once the preserve of Marxists, flummoxed that workers refused to lose their capitalist chains, is now the fall-back position for the modern [left], which worries that voters cannot accurately comprehend the world in which they live.” - Are voters as clueless as Labour’s intelligentsia thinks? The Economist, November 30, 2024.
These survey results reveal broad support for a get-tough approach to crime before 2000. Then, as the crime rate dropped, American attitudes softened - until crime rates rose again, a trend the following chart documents…
Climate change and the environment were simply non-factors in this year’s election - no surprise, given that polls have repeatedly documented declining public concern about the environment. For example, in a recent Gallup poll “environmental quality” ranked 12th among issues that Americans worry about, after inflation, crime and violence, hunger and homelessness, the economy, healthcare affordability and availability, federal spending and the budget deficit, illegal immigration, drug use, the Social Security system, the possibility of terrorist attacks, and the availability and affordability of energy. That’s a lot of competition for scarce resources.
According the numerous economists and publications, the American economy is booming, yet most Americans polled disagree with that assessment and many say they were better off during the Trump years. What gives?
My progressive friends tend to dismiss these poll results, saying it’s mostly “low-information” Trump supporters who on down on the economy and their opinions don’t matter. That’s because Trump supporters are dumb, deluded and willfully ignorant - per my friends, not me!
Which got me wondering: how do Americans arrive at their opinions of the economy?
“Overall, our cross-country comparison for 10 [developed] countries concludes that the phenomenon of a discrepancy between [official economic indicators] and consumer sentiment is not unique to the United States but is prevalent across multiple countries.” - The Cost of Money is Part of the Cost of Living: New Evidence on the Consumer Sentiment (Bolhuis et al, 2024)
Around this time, journalists, social scientists, and even philosophers provided helpful lists of expressions associated with gaslighting to help individuals and groups recognize when they’ve been victims. For example….
Harris Supporter (before the election): “[Trump’s] message is straight-up misogyny, transphobia, racism, xenophobia. This is the kind of President he is, and Trump voters must know this. If Trump wins, that means this is who America is also.”
Never-Trumper/Critic of the Left (before the election): “One of the reasons Trump is going to win so easily is the CONSTANT accusations of misogyny, homophobia, transphobia, and racism from progressives. Translation: ‘Shut up, you're not allowed to talk about things.’ “
Trump Supporter (after the Election): “This is where the war with reality has taken the Democratic Party…And reality always wins, sooner or later. More precisely, in this case, the people's common sense has spoken.”
Compared to many European countries, America seems to go rather easy on its high-income taxpayers…Of course, appearances can be deceiving.
“Russia has been plotting to place incendiary devices on cargo planes in Europe and even performed a test run this summer, setting off fires at shipping hubs in Britain and Germany,” the New York Times reported [November 5, 2024].