The clearance rate for violent and property crimes has been stagnant in the US for the past 50 years, hovering around 46% and 17%, respectively, during 1971–2019. As follows: …
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Politics and Economics
Ok, so fear of getting caught deters crime more than fear of the legal consequences after getting caught. That makes sense, given that the former is a more immediate concern than the latter. But then, if getting caught were never followed by serious consequences, it would cease being a threat. Consequences still matter.
As a former member of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), the following excerpt from The Economist piqued my curiosity: “…the actual Democratic Socialists of America, an influential pressure group whose rose logo can be spotted in hipster-ish corners of Brooklyn and Washington DC, aspire for a future of “popular control of resources and production, economic planning [and] equitable distribution”. It is not a message tailored to win in Miami.” …Whoa – that’s a lot more hardcore than the DSA I used to know! So, what else does the DSA want?
The surprise here (at least for me) is the number of respondents who considered "obeying their rulers” as essential to democracy. I didn’t think democracies had rulers, which per Dictionary.com are sovereigns who exercise “supreme” authority, such as monarchs and emperors. Then again, meaning is much bigger than a dictionary definition. The discordant survey responses may have simply reflected different ideas about what a ruler is and does. Perhaps some respondents saw rulers as “those who make laws” and concluded that a citizenry that obeys laws is indeed essential for a functioning democracy. Which is not unreasonable.
I would have thought there’d be a closer relationship between type of government (e.g., democratic versus autocratic) and perceived freedom of choice and control. True, a greater percentage of US and Canadian respondents reported high levels of freedom, but more than 40% of respondents in China, Iran, and Myanmar reported high levels of freedom as well. And not even a quarter of the Japanese respondents felt substantially free. Obviously, perceived freedom of choice and control has other feeder streams than form of government.
The World Value Survey (WVS) has recently completed its seventh wave of data collection, covering 58 countries over the period of 2017-2022. This series of posts will highlight some of the findings. I’ll use the same subset of countries in each post. In this post, I’ll focus on what the WVS calls “emancipative” values, as in emancipation from authority. Emancipative values emphasize freedom of choice and "involve priorities for lifestyle liberty, gender equality, personal autonomy and the voice of the people." (World Values Survey, 2022).
And then there’s the Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UDHR) proclaimed by the United Nations General Assembly in 1948 as “a common standard of achievements for all peoples and all nations. It sets out, for the first time, fundamental human rights to be universally protected”. Per the Declaration’s own preamble: “… the inherent dignity and of the equal and inalienable rights of all members of the human family is the foundation of freedom, justice and peace in the world…human beings shall enjoy freedom of speech and belief and freedom from fear and want has been proclaimed as the highest aspiration of the common people…[and] it is essential, if man is not to be compelled to have recourse, as a last resort, to rebellion against tyranny and oppression, that human rights should be protected by the rule of law”.
Considerations
Public and bipartisan buy-in
Funded primarily through transfers from budgets of redundant government programs
Minimal tax increase on employers and affluent households
Employers and households paying higher taxes would also benefit from the ASBI - making the tax increase much more palatable
The problem with broad statements about rent control is that rent control laws vary greatly and so their effects are likely to vary greatly. Details matter.
In this post, I’m using Wikipedia’s definition of robot: “a machine—especially one programmable by a computer—capable of carrying out a complex series of actions automatically”. In this sense, a self-driving truck may be considered a robot, as may smaller machines within the truck, including those that look vaguely humanoid.
“This is the belief that although the majority population of any place might be intimidated and silenced by an oppressive force—capitalism or special interests or the Church—they would, given the chance, sing ding-dong in unison and celebrate their liberation. They just need a house dropped on their witch.” - Adam Gopnik, Can’t We Come Up with Something Better Than Liberal Democracy? September 12, 2022 Issue of The New Yorker.
Per the above chart, around 76% of the extra healthcare spending goes to inpatient and outpatient services, which mostly boils down to hospitals and physicians. US Hospitals are expensive because most have near-monopoly pricing power. And US physicians are expensive because they have supply-based pricing power. Check it out…
Mikhail Gorbachev died on the 30th of August this year. I always admired the man, who somehow managed to break the chains of fear and ideology under a system “penetrated by the spirit of bootlicking, persecution of dissidents, clannishness, [and] window-dressing.” As a homage to Mr. Gorbachev, here’s a post he inspired a couple years ago…
Post-tax corporate profits reached 12.1% of GDP in the second quarter of 2022, their highest since at least the 1940s…Why are companies doing so well? And is it a problem?
These barriers to development are “individually justifiable, yet collectively intolerable”, as is often the case with systemic barriers to progress. Yet because they are individually justifiable, they are individually resistant to reform. There will always be anti-development groups willing to fight tooth-and-nail for their cause, which is often a good cause.
Now contrast the California prison per inmate cost for security ($44,918) with the per inmate cost for education and training - just $2230, or less than $200 per month). No wonder California’s recidivism rate is so high. Unfortunately, the situation is just as bad in the rest of the country. To quote…
“Policy is pointless without power…Putting the wishes of wonks before the desires of voters is the quickest way to ensure defeat. It might not be sensible. But trying to be sensible is sometimes politically rather silly.” - Bagehot/The Economist,
To simplify a bit, budget deficits turn into government debt. Then the question becomes whether a country can afford to service its debt at a level that does not exceed economic growth. If the answer is yes, and the country in question is achieving its policy goals, then I’d say it has a pretty good tax system. If the answer is no, then it doesn’t.
The Range: Ninety-eight percent of the Progressive Left considered inequality to be a very big or moderately big problem, compared with 25% of Faith and Flag Conservatives . Additionally, 75% of Faith and Flag Conservatives saw inequality as a small problem or no problem at all, compared with 2% of the Progressive Left.
Pew Research interviewed thousands of Americans in 2021 and assigned each to a political group based on their responses to questions about social and political values. So how can one tell if the individuals in any of these groups are subject to groupthink? One way is to look at the level of consensus within a political group - especially on policy-related questions.