Energy Efficiency über Alles

The International Energy Agency has a nice list of policy recommendations to speed up adoption of energy-efficient technology and practices. They estimate that if implemented globally without delay, their proposed actions could save as much as 7.6 gigatonnes (Gt) CO2/year by 2030 – "almost 1.5 times current US annual CO2 emissions." 

Studying the Universal Basic Income

Canada  and Finland  have recently begun pilot studies designed to assess the feasibility of a universal basic income (UBI). Both studies involve providing a basic income to disadvantaged individuals for a substantial period of time. The Canadian study is set to last two years and the Finnish study three years. Payments are not means-tested and will continue for the duration of the study period regardless if the recipients find work or better employment.

Love, Efficiency and the Greater Good

Here we have the conflict between a moral imperative of treating people as ends in themselves and a pragmatic imperative of treating people as means to an end. But what if the pragmatic end is also a moral good?

The Prosocial Brain

Our neuronal networks are strengthened through repeated activation. When we repeatedly engage in a behavior, we strengthen the neural substrate underlying that behavior, including connections within the brain's attentional control system. That's because anything we do requires we attend to the world in specific ways, reflecting what matters to us in the moment: our goals, values, and concerns. 

What Does It Mean Not to be a Climate Change Skeptic?

I am not a climate change skeptic although I have the utmost respect for those that keep the torch of skepticism alive (minus the cranks). Saying I'm not a skeptic doesn't mean I've read all the science, understand the physics, and evaluated the climate projections based on my extensive knowledge of climate models. It means I'm using a heuristic: when 90% (give or take) of a group of experts say something is so, it probably is so. Nothing to pat myself on the back about. Not going to crow: I am more science-y than thou.

Wages, Hope, and Effort

Getting, keeping, and mastering a job is a huge confidence-building experience. Hope falters without confidence. Effort falters without hope: if nothing will come of my effort, why try?  Chronic unemployment zaps the will and can lead to a downward spiral. That’s why it's so important for employers to be willing to take risks on 'non-optimal' job applicants.

Climate Change Consensus: Update from the 97% Folks

What is the right question? Something along the lines of what the Pew survey asked: assuming climate change is happening, are humans the primary cause of global warming? The Verheggen et al paper comes closest to having both the right question and the appropriate respondents. Plus, they had the largest sample size - more than the other three studies combined. And they found a roughly 90% endorsement of anthropogenic global warming.

Unwanted Thoughts and What to Do with Them

Sometimes uncomfortable thoughts and feelings take us down a path to nowhere and sometimes they lead to new insights or solutions to vexing problems. We might want to follow their lead for awhile and see where they are taking us.  If we cut them off (“gently redirect” – same dif) the moment we notice them, we might miss out on a valuable learning experience. 

The Sound of One Thought Clapping

The inner audience may nod in agreement, clap with enthusiasm, talk back to the stage, or perhaps engage in a distancing maneuver. The difference is between a receptive, engaged audience and an audience that observes without commitment to the narrative.

Climate Change Consensus and Lessons from Social Psychology

It also makes a world of difference when the scientific consensus on climate change is represented as nearly unanimous (e.g., 97%) rather than merely a large majority (e.g., 90%). The former intimidates and discourages potential dissent; the latter, not so much.

Control, Power, and Well-Being, Part II: Goal Striving

Given the personal pain exacted by goal failure, we develop "optimization heuristics" to increase the likelihood of success and provide a psychological cushion for when we fail.  One heuristic is to maintain sufficient goal diversity to insure a sense of control, optimism, and competency in at least a few life domains.  So if we suck at x, at least we know we're good at y.

Control, Power, and Well-Being, Part I: Introduction

To control is to make things happen or not happen. Primary control is when we align the world to our wishes.  Secondary control is when we align ourselves to the world, often because the world isn't cooperating with our wishes.

Journalistic Acts of Omission, Case I: Seattle Wages

We have no idea what the actual wage increases were, since the “tip credit” was used by many employers. Also, Seattle was booming during the period studied. How did the researchers control for the effects of skyrocketing employment and economic growth in Seattle? 

Climate Change: Degrees of Certainty within the Consensus

Of the scientists convinced or confident that climate change is occurring, 48% were convinced that most of the recent or near future climate change is the result of anthropogenic causes; 26% were very confident of this; and 14% were modestly confident.

Climate Change: Exploring the Consensus

...only those authors who self-rated their papers as having an opinion on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) were asked if they personally endorsed AGW themselves.  These authors represented 62.7% of the whole sample - 746 out of 1189 respondents. The authors who self-rated their papers as having no position on AGW were not asked about their opinion on global warming. They were also climate scientists...

Climate Change: Labeling People and Framing the Issues

Doctors need to be willing to act boldly, willing to do nothing, and willing to change their minds. Because the health of the patient is what’s important – not a foolish consistency with past opinions....So it should be when the planet is the patient.

The Interstices of Attention: Where Ideas Happen

Those few hundred milliseconds between relief and renewed vigilance. Researching and thinking hard before the game - and then the payoff, the sense-making, in-between the momentary triumphs.