The Bold Centrist: How to Help the USDA Do More to Protect the Environment, Increase Biodiversity, and Combat Climate Change

This time around I’m going to address what more the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) can do to protect the environment, increase biodiversity, and combat climate change. The USDA already has several programs that help agricultural producers and foresters adopt and maintain conservation systems that protect water and air quality, reduce soil erosion, protect and enhance wildlife habitat, forests and wetlands, conserve water, and sequester carbon. Here are some of them…

The Politics of Scarcity

Those who dismiss the concept of scarcity often embrace an attitude of “if there’s a will, there’s a way”. Americans are steeped in this way of thinking: You can do it! Don’t let the doubters hold you back!

The Crime Series, Part III: Does a City's Local Politics Affect Its Crime Rate?

Republicans often assert that cities run by Democrats are more crime-ridden than those run by Republicans. Democrats often counter there’s no evidence of that. Neither side presents evidence one way or another, other than the anecdotal sort. So I decided to look into the matter myself, using cities with Republican mayors as a proxy for cities that are not dominated by Democrats or progressives. My sample included all the cities with Republican mayors on Wikipedia’s list of mayors of the 50 largest cities in the US, of which there were ten with Republican mayors. I also chose ten cities with Democratic mayors from Wikipedia’s list and then looked up the Major Cities Chiefs Association (MCCA) 2019-2020 figures for homicide and aggravated assault crime rates, et voila!. Here is what I found…

The Crime Series, Part II: How Much Violent Crime Goes Unreported? And Why?

I suspect more crimes will have gone unreported in 2020 (a year of strong anti-police sentiment), but those numbers aren’t in yet. As for why victims don’t report crimes, the most common one is that they dealt with the matter another way. Other reasons include: didn’t consider it important enough to report; police wouldn’t or couldn’t help anyway; fear of reprisal; and not wanting to get the offender in trouble. Here’s how the relative importance of those reasons breaks down by urban, suburban, and rural place of residence…

The Crime Series, Part I: US Crime Rates over the Past 50 Years in Two Charts

US crime rates appear to have dropped back to levels last seen in the 60s and 70s. But that doesn’t mean crime is no longer a serious problem in this country. Crime was too high fifty years ago and it remains too high now. As the above charts show, the decades-long surge in violence and property crimes began in the 1960s. And Americans were mad as hell about it. By the end of that decade, “law and order" had become a hot-button political theme and effective campaign slogan.

The Availability of Affordable Housing: How the States and Cities Compare

I’m not sure that paying more than 30% of one’s income on housing necessarily means one is suffering financial hardship. That 30% threshold came from the early 1960s when Americans spent almost a quarter of their monthly expenditures on food. Today we spend half as much on food, so shouldn’t we be able to spend more on housing? Spending no more than 30% of one’s income on housing may still be ideal for most low-income households but many better-off households could afford to pay more, especially households in the upper-half of the income distribution.

The Ripple Effects of a $15 Federal Minimum Wage for Childcare Workers

Some employers are able to absorb minimum wage increases by increasing labor productivity - producing more output per worker. However, this isn’t possible in the childcare business, due to mandated staff-child ratios, which vary somewhat across states. So with large minimum wage increases, employers have little choice but to pass on the extra cost to the consumer, typically parents or government agencies. According to one estimate, a $15 minimum wage for childcare workers would increase US childcare costs by an average of 21 percent —an extra $310 per month for two children. But in some states the increase would be much higher, over $500 a month for two children.

How to Reform The US Minimum Wage

Of course the minimum wage should be increased, but there is no justification for a one-size fits all approach. It makes more sense to yoke a state’s minimum wage to its median wage, at least for the initial reset, and then adjust annually for inflation. The minimum wage in developed countries is often between half and two-thirds of the median wage. For instance, minimum wage to median wage is 54% in Australia, 55% in the United Kingdom, and 63% in South Korea. For the US, I’m thinking a minimum wage of around 60% of each state’s median wage would be reasonable, rounded up to nearest dollar and with a few constraints, such as the new state minimum wage would not be less than the current one. Here’s what such a system might look like…

An Alternative to Biden's Plan to Eliminate Community College Tuition and Increase Pell Grants

President Biden recently unveiled his plan to spend $109 billion over 10 years to make community college tuition-free. Biden also wants to increase the maximum Pell grant to $8,295 for the 2021-22 school year. The President’s proposals would certainly ease the financial strains of attending public community colleges, especially for low-income students who are most likely to qualify for the maximum Pell grants.