Was Google Wrong to Fire Engineer over Diversity Memo, Part II: Gender Differences

...the Diversity Memo's author says that, on average, women are more open, people-oriented, gregarious, anxious, and agreeable than men and men are more thing-oriented, systemizing, assertive, and status-driven. He further notes that biology accounts only partly for these gender differences, many of which are small, and there is considerable overlap between men and women.

Mindfulness and Politics, Part II: What Do the Surveys Say?

As part of their 2014 survey on religion and politics, Pew did collect data on the political affiliation of meditation practitioners. They found that most were conservative. Well, there goes my thesis I thought. Delving further, though, it turns out that many religious groups practice meditation, including evangelical Protestants, Jehovah’s Witnesses, and Mormons.

Mindfulness and Politics, Part I: Parties and Narratives

...mindfulness teachers and advocates, whom I assume don't want to drive away potential converts by creating a political litmus test for membership in the mindful community.  Even groups that have promoted mindful political engagement shy away from explicit party affiliation

Happiness, Part I: Variations and Surveys

Another sense of happiness is about experiencing positive emotions. Gallup has a survey for that too – and it seems that experiencing positive emotions and being satisfied with life don't necessarily go together:  country rankings are completely different.

Unpacking Inequality, Part II: To Be Deserving, or Not

Arguments against the Deserving Rich:

  1. Retaining wealth is undeserved when others are in need.
  2. Most wealth is acquired through exploitation and force.
  3. Even if ability and hard work generate wealth, luck is the ultimate cause because a person's wealth-producing qualities are a product of favorable circumstances.
  4. Lots of hard-working people remain poor.
  5. Lots of people get rich because of connections or lucky breaks.
  6. Size matters. No one deserves to be filthy rich.

Unpacking Inequality, Part I: The Bare Essentials

Assuming some degree of inequality is compatible with the principle of fairness, on what basis would some people deserve more than others?   In surveys and lab studies,  participants have generally considered it fair to reward ability, effort, and moral behavior with more stuff. But when people are presented with hypothetical scenarios of economic good fortune, they're fine with "brute luck" as a source of riches. No begrudging the lottery winner.

Unpacking Inequality: Introductory Remarks

Let's unpack what's so bad about inequality in and of itself. Say we eliminate poverty and create conditions that facilitate individual social mobility; healthcare is universal; housing is generally affordable...

Healthcare: How the Japanese Do It

The Japanese healthcare system does illustrate how regulation can sometimes be the friend of innovation. The government overseers set low reimbursement rates for MRIs. So what did the Japanese do? Develop cheap MRI machines. Create the right incentives and inventions will follow.

The Trolley Problem Revisited Yet Again: The Role of Uncertainty in Moral Decision-Making

Here's a possible variation on the Fat Man version: A trolley is hurtling down a track towards five people. You are on a bridge under which it will pass, and you might be able to stop it by putting something very heavy in front of it. As it happens, there is a very fat man next to you – your only chance to stop the trolley is to push him over the bridge, hopefully onto the track, killing him for sure to possibly save five. Should you proceed? 

Estimating Economic Damage from Climate Change, Part V

I’m tempted to say “Estimating economic damage from climate change in the United States” is a noble failure, a well-meaning endeavor of questionable value due to a few missteps.  But I don’t believe it. What I believe is that the authors deliberately chose implausible worst-case assumptions because the resulting projections of economic damage would be more likely to spur policy action than more plausible middle-of-the-road assumptions.

Estimating Economic Damage from Climate Change, Part IV

...we may have already reached "peak farm" as “the ratio of arable land per unit of crop production shows improved efficiency of land use, the number of hectares of cropland [having] scarcely changed since 1990” (Ausubel, Wernick, & Waggoner, 2013). This despite an additional two billion mouths to feed in the last 25 years.

Estimating Economic Damage from Climate Change, Part III

RCP8.5 also comes with a storyline that would be consistent with such high GHG concentration levels by the end of this century.  The storyline is a set of socio-economic assumptions that provide a narrative for how we might get from here to there. The storylines aren’t carved in stone; different socio-economic developments could lead to the same climate change outcome – but to be taken seriously, a storyline has to be plausible.

Estimating Economic Damage from Climate Change, Part II

[The authors] predict that by 2100 the poorest third of US counties, mostly in the south, will experiences significant damage due to climate-related effects on agriculture, crime, coastal storms, energy, human mortality, and labor. They project this damage will occur “under business-as-usual emissions (Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5)”. In other words, the authors’ analysis is based on a particular global emissions scenario unfolding. If we are to put stock in their projections, we need to consider the plausibility of their assumptions.  The output is only as good as its input.

Estimating Economic Damage from Climate Change, Part I

...the authors don't explain what "Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5" is, except to say it's a "business-as-usual" emissions scenario. You can't really evaluate the paper without some idea of what RCP8.5 is and whether it's a likely scenario for global emissions trends.

The Three Pillars of Health Care Reform: Coverage, Cost, and Quality

There's no way you can go from making it easier to buy health insurance, or to incentivize buying health insurance, and get to universal coverage. Some people just can't or won't buy insurance.  The US would still have millions uninsured if we had a completely voluntary system.

Moving is So Hard to Do

America used to be the mobile society. People would pick up and move to the next opportunity or adventure. Oregon Ho! Sure, moving could be scary - failure was always a possibility - and yet we took that risk time and again. Then we stopped. What happened?

The Perils of Moral Indignation

Moral indignation has served us well throughout the evolution of our species, keeping free-riders and rule-breakers in check, maintaining group cohesion, helping us reproduce and thrive. It is deeply embedded in our nature. Yet moral indignation is a response tendency that gets us into all sorts of trouble. Like love of sweets, it is a natural inclination to be managed and restrained.

Blurbs That Blind

The purpose is to dazzle us. But dazzling doesn’t illuminate; quite the opposite: it overwhelms the vision. Dazzling blinds and confuses.

Why Encourage Dissent?

...dissent potentiates a process that may lead us closer to the truth of things. Even when dissent is stupid and wrong-headed, it can make you think.